Trump: US-Iran Peace Deal Signed Sunday

President Trump's announcement of an impending U.S.-Iran peace deal on Sunday signals a significant geopolitical de-escalation. The primary market transmission mechanism would be a reduction in geopolitical risk premium, particularly impacting crude oil markets and regional asset valuations. Oil futures, especially Brent and WTI, are most exposed due to the potential for increased Iranian oil supply returning to global markets and diminished supply disruption fears in the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, risk appetite for emerging market assets, particularly those in the Middle East, could see a boost. Traders will closely monitor official statements and the actual signing of the deal on Sunday for confirmation and details regarding sanctions relief and oil production quotas.

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